BMW has sold a Z car almost continuously since 1989, when the Z1 was launched. There were a few short breaks between generations, but the Future (German for “future”) has been an integral part of the cast for more than 30 years. But now the clock is ticking for the compact roadster in its current form.
According to rumors about a Final Edition, production of the “G29” is scheduled to stop in May 2026. That’s not even the worst part. A replacement isn’t even in sight. From what we’ve heard, BMW isn’t ready to commit to a new Z car just yet. However, sources close to Munich indicate that the idea is not completely off the table. Assuming that another two-seat convertible comes onto the market at some point, the question remains: Should it keep a gasoline engine or be purely electric?
ICE or EV?
There are two schools of thought. On the one hand, ICE would appeal to purists who enjoy a rugged experience and want to hear the roar of the engine with the top down. On the other hand, an electric vehicle would serve as a relaxed cruiser for weekend trips. Due to space constraints, it is not possible to offer both powertrains in such a small car. Developing two separate models would be too expensive given the limited sales potential. In short, BMW would have to choose one.
Given that the German luxury brand hasn’t given the green light to another Z yet, there wouldn’t be a new model coming this decade, even if it does at some point. BMW currently has bigger priorities. The New Class will be expanded to more than 40 models by the end of 2027. After that, it’s likely to focus on new additions like the rumored i1 hatchback, i2 sedan and a rugged SUV, leaving little room for a niche roadster until after 2030.
The next decade will likely be dominated by hybrid and electric vehicles, but a lightweight sports car powered solely by an internal combustion engine would still have its fans. The problem is, how many of them are left? In 2024, BMW sold just 10,482 units of the Z4, hardly a commercial success, which explains the company’s reluctance to develop a successor.
An electric Z4 has potential
As heretical as it may sound to enthusiasts, for some buyers an electric Z4 makes perfect sense. Don’t get out the pitchforks just yet, but a convertible doesn’t have to be a hardcore performance car – that’s what coupes are for. Instead, it could serve as the perfect second car for leisurely trips when you and your partner aren’t in a hurry.
There would probably also be enough space for a weekend’s worth of luggage. While convertibles are rarely practical, an EV layout could alleviate some packaging concerns. Without the oily parts, engineers could free up space under the hood and perhaps even add a front trunk. An electric Z4 wouldn’t break any range records because the short wheelbase would limit battery size. Be that as it may, with next-generation round cells it should deliver respectable range for long tours.
BMW is losing its love for convertibles (for now)
In the meantime, BMW is preparing to phase out other convertibles. The 8 Series Cabriolet (“G14”) will be phased out in the first half of next year, while the smaller 4 Series Cabriolet (“G23”) will reportedly remain in production until mid-2029. That means BMW could start the next decade without a gasoline-powered convertible in its lineup.
However, that doesn’t mean that Bavaria will completely forego convertibles. Even if there isn’t another Z4, a potential i4 Cabriolet (“NA3”) could fill the gap. After all, luxury automakers need lifestyle models to reinforce their image, even if they appeal to a niche audience.
We refuse to believe that there will ever be a time when there are no convertibles at all in BMW’s lineup.
[Rendering @lsdesignsrl]
